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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000

ABNT20 KNHC 171136

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

800 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE

CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING PAST

SEVERAL HOURS. THERE ARE STILL NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION

AND PRESSURES HAVE NOT FALLEN OVER THIS REGION. ENVIRONMENTAL

CONDITIONS REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS

WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM

CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN